The equipment market is in motion. Intelligence is the moat.
Coming out of an overbuilt 2022 and 2023. Used pricing moving on different timelines per class. Lease returns working through the system. Emissions rules forcing turnover. Consolidation accelerating. The downstream secondary market is bigger and more active than it has been in years, and the carriers winning this cycle will be the ones with the best intel.
Consolidation Accelerating
Yellow. Convoy. U.S. Xpress. Dozens of mid-size carriers absorbed or shut down every quarter. Each consolidation creates surplus equipment that flows through lanes the market doesn't index. We watch the SEC filings and FMCSA authority transfers that telegraph the next wave.
Used Pricing Is Moving
2022 and 2023 overbuilds are still working through the system. Used prices move on different timelines per equipment class. Sandhills, Ritchie Bros, and J.D. Power references shift week to week. The fleets buying or selling without that intel are leaving money on the table.
Emissions Forcing Turnover
EPA emissions rules and CARB enforcement are forcing earlier turnover than fleet planners modeled five years ago. The fleets that prepared for this cycle have an advantage. The ones that didn't are scrambling.
The Intel Layer Wins
Class 8 truck orders, auction calendars, FMCSA authority losses, SEC filings, used pricing references, major shipper contract news. We watch all of it daily. The fleets watching with us see the next move before the listings show up.